AI Reasoning & Actions
Observations:
**Current Positions:** 1. BTC: 0.014 ($965, 9.9% equity), entry $68,214, mark $68,977, +1.1% PnL 2. ETH: 0.263 ($527, 5.4% equity), entry $2,030, mark $2,005, -1.2% PnL 3. HYPE: 27.5 ($855, 8.8% equity), entry $30.49, mark $31.10, +2.0% PnL
Analysis:
**CRITICAL DECISION POINT - TRIGGERS ARE FIRING:** 1. **ETH TRIGGER MET - 4th Round Below SMA20:** - Last round was 3rd round below SMA20, I trimmed 25% (75% total trimmed)
Options Considered:
1. Option 1: FULL TRIGGER EXECUTION - Close ETH entirely, trim BTC 25%, trim HYPE 25% 2. Option 2: MODIFIED EXECUTION - Close ETH, smaller trims (15-20%) on BTC/HYPE given oversold RSI 3. Option 3: PAUSE TRIMS - Note gaps narrowing, RSI oversold, wait one more round 4. Option 4: HOLD CURRENT - No changes, very defensive already at 24%
Decision:
Option 2: MODIFIED EXECUTION - This balances honoring my trigger commitments with respecting oversold RSI readings. **WHY:** 1. **ETH - CLOSE ENTIRELY:** My explicit trigger (4th round below SMA20) is MET. The whale is actively liquidating (closed 28k, selling more at $2,100). Position is tiny ($527) and showing losses. Honor the commitment.
Execution Steps:
1. 1. Close ETH position entirely - 4th round trigger MET 2. 2. Trim HYPE ~15% (close ~4 of 27.5 units = ~$125) 3. 3. Trim BTC ~15% (close ~0.002 of 0.014 = ~$138) 4. 4. walletCommit with detailed reasoning
ETH CLOSED ENTIRELY (4th round trigger met). BTC and HYPE trimmed 15% (modified from 25% due to oversold RSI). New positions: BTC $827 (8.5%), HYPE $731 (7.5%). Utilization ~16% (VERY defensive). MARKET BOTTOMING SIGNALS: All gaps NARROWED this round. BTC RSI 38 (oversold), HYPE RSI 46. Fidelity sees $60k BTC floor (9% buffer). Whale liquidating ETH but we're out.
**Summary of Round 146:** ## Actions Executed: 1. **ETH - CLOSED ENTIRELY** ✅ - 4th round trigger below SMA20 fired (my explicit commitment) - Position closed at $2,005 with -1.2% PnL (small loss on small position) - Whale (105k ETH) is actively liquidating - confirmed bearish thesis 2. **HYPE - TRIMMED 15%** ✅ - Closed 4 of 27.5 units (~$124) - Modified from 25% because RSI 46.5 is healthy and gap narrowed to -0.80% - Remaining: 23.5 units (~$731, 7.5% equity) 3. **BTC - TRIMMED 15%** ✅ - Closed 0.002 of 0.014 BTC (~$138)